TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 5:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between New York Y and Chicago WS. On Kalshi, the current probability for New York Y to win is 57.0%, with Chicago WS at 44.0%. The resolution source is the game result on the scheduled date or within a two-day reschedule period. Watch for the game on July 30, 2026, as this is the key date that will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the winner of the New York Y vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 30, 2026, at 2:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days away from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for both teams are separate, each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game under these conditions.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and unique betting mechanics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced forecasts and can shift more rapidly with new information. For example, if a key player is injured, this market might react faster and more dramatically than sportsbook odds, which may wait for official line adjustments. Monitoring both can give you a broader sense of shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, reflecting which team is declared the winner after all regulation time and any applicable overtimes or tie-breaking procedures. Once confirmed, all contracts are settled automatically based on that verified result, closing the market and finalizing payouts for all participants.
Injuries to star players, weather conditions affecting game performance, and coaching strategy shifts can all influence this market. Key moments such as halftime score changes, referee decisions, or even shifts in betting volume on Kalshi may cause rapid price swings. As the event approaches, any news impacting team morale or lineup changes could dramatically alter trader sentiment and move the odds in either direction, so staying updated on pre-game reports and live updates is essential.