TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team leads after the first five innings of the New York Yankees vs Boston game on June 26, 2026. Bettors can choose whether New York Yankees wins, Boston wins, or the teams are tied after five innings.
Resolution is based on the score at the end of the fifth inning of the game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If New York Yankees has more runs than Boston, the New York Yankees outcome resolves to Yes. If Boston has more runs than New York Yankees, the Boston outcome resolves to Yes. If both teams have scored the same number of runs, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, within two days of the original scheduled date.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may price the first five innings differently than major sportsbooks, particularly if informed traders spot value or if public sentiment skews one direction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential opportunities for sharp bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by active participants, with bid-ask spreads tightening as volume increases. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and prices update in real time based on supply and demand. This transparent, decentralized pricing model ensures that market odds reflect live consensus rather than a fixed sportsbook line.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the first five innings of the New York versus Boston game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded after the fifth inning concludes. Resolution occurs shortly after the event concludes, allowing traders to settle their positions. Participants should monitor official game updates and league sources to track progress toward resolution.
Several factors can shift odds before this market resolves. Injury announcements or roster changes for either team may alter perceived strength in the early innings. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and recent offensive or pitching performance trends can influence trader sentiment. Starting pitcher matchups and bullpen availability are particularly relevant for a five-inning market, as early relief usage often determines outcomes. Breaking news about team strategy, lineup adjustments, or player status can trigger rapid repricing as new information reaches the market.