TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the combined run total in the New York Y versus A's baseball game will exceed 12.5 runs. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution is determined by the official combined score from the professional baseball game scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, as reported by the resolution source. Watch for the final combined run total when the game concludes on May 29, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a different participant base and incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin; prediction markets aggregate beliefs of traders risking real capital. For the New York Y vs A's total runs, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd disagrees. Prediction markets sometimes lead sportsbooks in pricing efficiency, especially as game time approaches and new information emerges.
On Kalshi, the New York Y vs A's: Total Runs contract is priced as a binary outcome between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percentage-point probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief about whether total runs will fall into the specified range. The price discovery process reflects the collective forecast of all active traders on the platform. As new information about lineups, weather, or injury reports surfaces, the market reprices continuously to reflect updated expectations.
The New York Y vs A's: Total Runs market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official total runs scored by both teams in the completed game. Once the game concludes and the official box score is recorded, the market settles based on whether the actual run total matches the specified outcome criteria. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or postponed under specific conditions outlined in the market terms.
Several catalysts could shift the New York Y vs A's: Total Runs market before May 30, 2026. Key starting pitcher announcements, bullpen availability, and last-minute roster changes directly impact run-scoring expectations. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, humidity—affect ball carry and offensive output. Injury reports to star hitters or defensive players can alter team strength. Recent team form, offensive trends, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about field conditions or umpire assignments may trigger repricing as game time nears.