TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:34 AM EST
Kalshi
The New York Yankees face the Arizona Diamondbacks in a major league baseball matchup. The event centers on whether the game will extend beyond the standard nine innings due to a tied score after regulation.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses, public biases, or simply the dynamic nature of information flow. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more rapidly than sportsbooks, leading to odds adjustments as the event approaches. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the New York vs Arizona game. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York vs Arizona game, specifically whether extra innings were played. The platform will verify this information against trusted sources to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the correct outcome contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New York or Arizona team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or pitching matchups could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades by informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations, reflecting new information or shifts in overall market opinion regarding the New York vs Arizona game.