TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will win the second half of a scheduled women's professional basketball game between New York and Toronto. It evaluates performance strictly during regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team scores the most points in that specific half.
If Toronto is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the New York vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the New York vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the New York vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows for continuous adjustment as new data emerges, like late-breaking injury reports or changes in team strategy. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information aggregation and the incentives of participants; sportsbooks aim to profit from setting lines, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether New York or Toronto will win the second half. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price fluctuates, converging towards a consensus view. The closer the event gets, the more active trading becomes, and the more refined the market’s prediction becomes. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team has the higher score at the end of the second half of the New York vs Toronto game. The official game results, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source, will determine the winning team and thus the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how the market will be settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New York or Toronto would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, unexpected starting lineups, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive display by one team, could lead to shifts in the market price. Public perception, reflected in media coverage and social media trends, may also play a role in shaping the market’s direction before Sep 20, 2026.