TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 9:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York will win the upcoming football game against Pittsburgh by more than 1.5 points. On Kalshi, the current probability that New York wins by over 1.5 points is 64.0%, with resolution based on the game outcome. The key catalyst to monitor will be the game itself, scheduled for August 21, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the New York vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for August 21, 2026. If Pittsburgh wins by exceeding the specified point margin detailed in each market, that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New York wins by exceeding the corresponding margin, the respective market also resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its specific threshold without regard to other markets' outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader activity and the influence of hedging strategies. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a mix of analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to more volatile pricing. Traders may react faster to new information, causing this market to diverge from standard sportsbook spreads.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to determine if New York covers the spread or if Pittsburgh does, and the result will be settled based on official game records. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly available game results.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts leading up to the game could move this market. Media reports, practice updates, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any new information that affects the perceived likelihood of a large margin of victory for either team can cause rapid adjustments in pricing.