TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both New York and Pittsburgh teams specifically in the fourth quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity in the final quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both New York and Pittsburgh during the fourth quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 21, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the fourth quarter exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during regulation fourth-quarter play are considered, with overtime points explicitly excluded from all calculations.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and house edges, prediction markets rely purely on participant activity. This often leads to tighter spreads and more volatile pricing as the event approaches. Traders in this market may see shifts based on real-time participant sentiment, whereas sportsbooks typically adjust slower to maintain balanced action on both sides.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their buying and selling activity. The current implied probability represents the collective expectation of participants regarding the total points scored in the fourth quarter. Volume of $8,159 and 24-hour volume of $6,033 reflect market interest, with price movements driven by new information, betting patterns, and trader sentiment as the game nears.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game, specifically the total points scored in the fourth quarter, will determine whether the market settles on the over or under.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury reports affecting star players, weather conditions impacting game pace, and strategic decisions by coaches that open or slow scoring. As the game approaches, any major lineup changes or recent performance trends may also influence trader expectations. Media analysis and pre-game betting trends could further drive volume and price adjustments on Kalshi before Aug 22, 2026.