TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York vs Pittsburgh: 1st Quarter Winner
kalshi

New York vs Pittsburgh: 1st Quarter Winner

Volume:
$30,947

New York wins 1st Quarter

 - Kalshi

New York wins 1st Quarter - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 7:44 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York wins 1st Quarter

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,171
N/A
N/A
$14,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins 1st Quarter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,787
N/A
N/A
$8,980
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie 1st Quarter

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,989
N/A
N/A
$5,331
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team will lead at the end of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between New York and Pittsburgh. It captures the early momentum of the game by evaluating the scoring performance of each team within the first 15 minutes of play.

Kalshi

The market determines the outcome based on which team scores the most points in the first quarter of the designated football game. If Pittsburgh scores the highest points in the first quarter, the 'Pittsburgh wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If New York scores the highest points in the same quarter, the 'New York wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish the first quarter with equal scores, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the 'Tie 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these outcomes, and the markets are independent of the overall game result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the 1st quarter winner market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $27,310. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around which team will lead after the first quarter, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity as the game approaches.

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different probability distribution because they are driven by trader sentiment and speculative positioning rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends, this market offers a more granular view of how informed participants assess the early-game momentum between the teams.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score after the first quarter ends, and the market will close to reflect which team was leading at that point.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting early gameplay, and strategic decisions by coaches could all shift this market. Additionally, any significant betting trends or news releases about team performance in the days leading up to the game may cause price movements, as traders adjust their positions based on new expectations for the first quarter’s outcome.