TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead at the end of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between New York and Pittsburgh. It captures the early momentum of the game by evaluating the scoring performance of each team within the first 15 minutes of play.
The market determines the outcome based on which team scores the most points in the first quarter of the designated football game. If Pittsburgh scores the highest points in the first quarter, the 'Pittsburgh wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If New York scores the highest points in the same quarter, the 'New York wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish the first quarter with equal scores, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the 'Tie 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these outcomes, and the markets are independent of the overall game result.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different probability distribution because they are driven by trader sentiment and speculative positioning rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends, this market offers a more granular view of how informed participants assess the early-game momentum between the teams.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score after the first quarter ends, and the market will close to reflect which team was leading at that point.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting early gameplay, and strategic decisions by coaches could all shift this market. Additionally, any significant betting trends or news releases about team performance in the days leading up to the game may cause price movements, as traders adjust their positions based on new expectations for the first quarter’s outcome.