TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that participants can bet on, reflecting expectations about the pace and offensive output of the game in its initial minutes.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by New York and Pittsburgh during the first quarter of their scheduled Pro Football game on August 21, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points). If the actual combined score in the first quarter surpasses the threshold designated for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets operate independently of one another. The markets are structured to allow participants to assess varying levels of offensive performance in the early stages of the game, with higher thresholds representing more aggressive scoring expectations.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about the total points scored in the first quarter, often showing sharper or more volatile pricing than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjusted lines, prediction markets zero in on crowd-sourced forecasts. This can lead to noticeable differences in implied probabilities, especially as game-specific news or injury reports emerge. Traders on Kalshi may react faster to new data, creating a dynamic contrast to more static sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes for the 1st quarter total market. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting in real time to new information such as team news, weather conditions, or shifts in betting momentum. This continuous trading process ensures that the market price captures a nuanced, up-to-the-minute perspective on expected scoring trends for the opening quarter.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will be compared against the market’s point total to determine which side wins, and the result is finalized once official box scores are published and widely confirmed.
Key performances from star players, injury updates, weather conditions, and strategic adjustments by coaches can all shift expectations for first-quarter scoring. Any major change in starting lineups or game momentum early on may cause rapid moves in this market as traders react to real-time developments that could impact the quarter’s total.