TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either New York or Pittsburgh in the first quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate how decisively either New York or Pittsburgh wins the first quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be surpassed for a 'Yes' resolution. For Pittsburgh to win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or for New York to win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points in the first quarter, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ from sportsbook spreads due to varied participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a combination of analytics and risk management, traders on Kalshi price this market based on real-time betting activity and perceived probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Traders should consider both sources but recognize that this market provides a unique view shaped by its user base and trading dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread after the first quarter will be compared to the market’s settled value, and traders will receive payouts based on how accurately their positions matched the verified result.
Several factors could influence this market before Aug 22, 2026. Key performances in early matchups, injury reports for star players, and strategic adjustments by coaches may shift trader expectations. Weather conditions on game day and last-minute lineup changes could also create volatility. Media narratives and expert analysis leading up to the event often impact market sentiment. Traders will watch these signals closely, as each piece of news may adjust the perceived likelihood of outcomes in this market.