TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 9:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for New York in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between two New York teams. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that New York must exceed to settle the bet.
These markets resolve based on the point differential New York achieves exclusively during the third quarter of the designated football game. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—that New York must surpass for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these thresholds; points from any other quarter are irrelevant. All markets share this core mechanism but differ in their required point differentials, offering varied levels of difficulty and potential payout. The markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others beyond the shared requirement of third-quarter performance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of the New York team winning the third quarter by over 7.5 points. The current implied chance reflects the balance of buy and sell orders placed by participants. Because Kalshi operates as a peer-to-peer exchange, prices can shift quickly with new trading activity, news about player performance, or shifts in broader game expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official third-quarter score from the game will determine whether the spread difference meets the over 7.5 points threshold, and the market will settle accordingly based on that verified result.
In-game performance updates, especially any significant scoring runs by either New York team in the third quarter, could strongly influence this market. Injuries, strategic coaching decisions, or even weather delays that affect scoring pace may shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any public betting trends or analytical reports released closer to game time can cause price swings, as participants adjust their positions based on new information.