TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York will win the upcoming professional football game against Miami by more than 3.5 points. On Kalshi, the current probability that New York wins by over 3.5 points stands at 99.0%. The resolution source is the official result of the New York versus Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for August 22, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score of that specific game on its scheduled date, August 22, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the New York vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. For New York to win, the margin must exceed the specified threshold ranging from 1.5 to 16.5 points. For Miami to win, the margin must also exceed thresholds from 1.5 to 16.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on its respective point differential condition. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating trader sentiment and real-time data. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a mix of analytics and betting action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on expected point differentials, sometimes showing tighter spreads or sharper adjustments based on emerging news.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their expectations for the point differential when the teams face off. The current probability reflects the collective wisdom of market participants, adjusting dynamically with new information, injuries, or performance shifts. This mechanism captures a broad range of opinions, with prices fluctuating based on trading volume and recent game outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official game determines the spread result, and the market settles based on that verified information. Traders can track the approaching resolution date to time their positions according to the schedule and any anticipated updates.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent performance trends can shift expectations and move this market. Weather conditions, lineup announcements, and media reports about team morale also influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any update affecting the competitive balance may cause rapid price adjustments, so staying informed on news and lineups is crucial for market participants.