TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York vs Miami: 1st Quarter Winner
kalshi

New York vs Miami: 1st Quarter Winner

Volume:
$19,491

New York wins 1st Quarter

 - Kalshi

New York wins 1st Quarter - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 4:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York wins 1st Quarter

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,560
N/A
N/A
$5,759
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins 1st Quarter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,487
N/A
N/A
$9,694
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie 1st Quarter

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,443
N/A
N/A
$2,340
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the immediate competitive momentum at the very start of the match, reflecting early performance rather than the full-game outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the first quarter of the designated professional football game. If Miami scores more points than New York in the first quarter, the 'Miami wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New York scores more points than Miami in the first quarter, the 'New York wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams finish the first quarter with equal points, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the 'Tie 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward determining the outcome, and the broader game result does not affect these resolutions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the 1st quarter winner market, alongside a chart of historical pricing and current 24-hour volume of $19,448. It visualizes how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the game’s opening quarter, showing shifts in sentiment as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect the aggregated beliefs of active traders, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines due to sharper, faster adjustments. While sportsbooks may lag or incorporate broader public sentiment, this market prices in real-time reactions to team news, player injuries, and tactical updates, potentially offering a more nuanced view of likely outcomes.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game records showing which team led at the end of the first quarter, and the platform updates accordingly.

Key signals include last-minute roster changes, weather forecasts affecting early gameplay, and strategic decisions by coaches that could sway the first quarter’s momentum. Any surprise starter announcements or injury updates released close to the match could cause rapid shifts in trader positioning, driving volatility in this market right up until Aug 22, 2026.