TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
New York Red Bulls vs. Orlando City SC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

New York Red Bulls vs. Orlando City SC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$6,467

New York Red Bulls

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 8:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York Red Bulls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,007
N/A
N/A
$1,213
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,537
N/A
N/A
$2,426
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
polymarket

Orlando City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the first team to score in the New York Red Bulls vs. Orlando City SC match scheduled for August 1, 2026. The markets will resolve based on which team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if neither team scores.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in the scope of the game phases considered for the first goalHero tip: Be cautious with Kalshi markets as they include extra time, which could lead to different resolutions if the first goal is scored in extra time. Polymarket only considers regular time and stoppage time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal in regular time plus stoppage time only. Excludes extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on first goal in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time periods. Includes all phases of the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If New York Red Bulls records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando City SC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the first goal scorer market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends. It tracks how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, reflecting collective trader sentiment toward which team might score first. You can see total volume at $6,467 and 24-hour volume at $6,324, offering a snapshot of market activity and consensus as the match approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often showing sharper or more volatile lines than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting and analytical models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes producing pricing divergences. The gap can widen based on unique trader positioning or recent team performance shifts, making this market a dynamic indicator of focused fan and investor expectations.

Injuries to key attacking players, weather delays, or strategic lineup changes could shift this market sharply before kickoff. Momentum swings from recent form, plus any last-minute coaching decisions, may cause Polymarket and Kalshi probabilities to adjust rapidly as the match nears. Traders will watch pre-game news and lineup announcements closely for any clues about who might score first.