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New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$51,010

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 7:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,514
N/A
N/A
$37,222
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers two soccer matches: an MLS match between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire FC, and a professional baseball game between New York Mets and Chicago White Sox. The markets determine which team will score first in each respective game, with specific rules for resolution based on scoring timing and game outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental category mismatch between soccer and baseball eventsHero tip: These markets resolve completely different events despite similar phrasing. Never treat them as related. Verify sport and teams before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First to score in New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire FC MLS soccer match within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Resolves to team name or Neither. Key quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time'
  • Kalshi: First run scored in first inning of New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox professional baseball game. Resolves to Yes/No. Key quote: 'If either team scores a run in the first inning... market resolves to Yes'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Fire FC" if Chicago Fire FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of each team scoring first. It displays total volume of $51,010 and 24-hour volume of $50,342, offering a consensus view of market sentiment through changing probabilities and liquidity depth.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user bases and liquidity depth. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct traders, from global speculators to niche enthusiasts, shaping their odds uniquely. Liquidity constraints on smaller platforms can amplify price swings, while larger venues may smooth out extremes. For this market, these dynamics mean the two platforms can temporarily reflect divergent views until more data or larger trades bring them closer together.