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402,751

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC?

Volume:
$1,580,087

Charlotte

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 8:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Charlotte

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$816,563
N/A
N/A
$532,309
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Charlotte FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Charlotte FC

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9,127
$47,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

New York Red Bulls

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$641
$9,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York RB

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329,152
N/A
N/A
$243,745
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$229
$8,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,424
N/A
N/A
$102,075
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the result of the Major League Soccer match between New York Red Bulls and Charlotte FC. The aggregated consensus probability for a New York Red Bulls win is 95.0%, with a draw at 5.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution details available on mlssoccer.com. Watch for the match scheduled for July 25, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic differs between the draw market and win markets on Polymarket. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause.Hero tip: Monitor for match cancellation announcements. If the July 25, 2026 match is permanently canceled with no rescheduled date, expect Polymarket draw market to settle YES while NYRB and Charlotte win markets settle NO. This creates a profitable arbitrage opportunity if odds do not reflect this asymmetry. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language suggests it may defer to platform discretion or standard sports market convention.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: NYRB win (resolves NO on cancellation), Charlotte win (resolves NO on cancellation), and Draw (resolves YES on cancellation). Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve NO' (win markets).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (NYRB win, Charlotte win, Tie) all resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Quote: 'If New York RB wins...then the market resolves to Yes' with no contingency language.
  • Predict: Mirrors Polymarket logic: NYRB win and Charlotte win resolve NO on cancellation; Draw resolves YES on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve NO' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York Red Bulls and Charlotte FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the New York RB vs Charlotte MLS match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—New York RB win, Charlotte win, or tie—has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York Red Bulls and Charlotte FC.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with combined volume of $1,580,087 across all linked markets. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each community is assessing the result in real time, revealing consensus strength or divergence between venues. You can track odds shifts, monitor 24-hour volume at $1,553,003, and see which outcome is currently favored as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from bookmaker pricing, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, or managerial decisions for either team can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings may influence positioning as the match date approaches. Weather conditions and venue factors occasionally impact prediction markets when they become public. Breaking news about player availability or tactical shifts often triggers sharp price movements in the final days. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for developments that could alter the competitive balance.