TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming MLS soccer match between New York RB and Orlando, based on the margin of victory. It focuses specifically on performance within the first 45 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full match. The market considers a decisive lead of more than one goal as the criteria for resolution.
The market evaluates dominance in the first half of the New York RB versus Orlando MLS soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026, through two distinct outcomes. If New York RB wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Orlando achieves a first-half victory margin exceeding 1.5 goals, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Both markets exclusively consider goals scored during the first half and disregard the full match result. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price following defined procedures. No partial or extra-time goals counted in the first half affect the outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, with the current top outcome reflecting the majority view. The market’s probability indicates how participants expect the game’s first half to unfold, adjusting fluidly to news, lineup changes, or recent performance trends that could influence the outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential at halftime, and will match the recorded score from trusted sports data providers.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or strategic coaching decisions could shift this market. Strong recent performances by either team, especially in earlier matchups, may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute lineup changes or updates from team announcements leading up to the game can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess probabilities.