TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:08 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, whereas this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs about the game’s outcome. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, prediction markets benefit from a broader range of perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of the teams involved. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of participants regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making algorithm to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery for the Mets-Nationals game.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mets-Nationals game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. The platform relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the outcome. Resolution will occur shortly after the game concludes, allowing traders to receive their payouts based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the official game results to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could shift the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of team morale issues could also influence trader behavior. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert predictions, might also cause movement. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Mets and Nationals is crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.