TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:53 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-26 16:40 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-26 16:40 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-money wagers, potentially revealing insights that differ from initial expectations. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two and consider the reasoning behind any differences.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mets-Nationals game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect which team won the game, or if the game ended in a tie, the corresponding outcome will be settled. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mets or the Nationals would likely have a significant impact. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts affecting playing conditions, or even late-breaking news about team morale could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or reports of illness could also cause fluctuations. As the game approaches, any updates or developments will be quickly reflected in the market prices, making it a responsive indicator of evolving expectations.