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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Volume:
$430,238

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 7, 7:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$268,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,075
$3,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$104,904
N/A
N/A
$94,313
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event group covers two distinct MLB prediction markets for the New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays game scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET: a head-to-head match winner market and a first-inning run-scoring market. The markets span three platforms with slightly different event dates and resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Date reference mismatch (Kalshi June 29 vs. Predict/Polymarket June 30) and incomplete edge-case handling on Kalshi. Kalshi also lacks explicit 24-hour source fallback and postponement continuation logic.Hero tip: Cross-check the official MLB schedule to confirm the correct game date. If June 30 is correct, Kalshi's June 29 reference creates ambiguity. For all platforms, monitor for postponements and request written confirmation of makeup-game resolution before the scheduled start time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Match winner resolves to team name or 50-50 if canceled/tied. Postponed games remain open. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.'
  • Polymarket: Two markets: (1) Match winner with identical Predict logic; (2) First-inning runs (Yes/No) with same postponement and cancellation rules. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: First-inning runs market references 'Jun 29, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT' (not June 30). No explicit postponement continuation or cancellation fallback stated. Quote: 'If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York M vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 30 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York M vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 30 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, though both reflect underlying probability estimates. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because traders here have different information, time horizons, or risk appetites. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value, though prediction market prices tend to tighten closer to game time as more information surfaces.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different user bases with varying access to news or analytics. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform prices the outcome higher or lower than the other, incentivizing traders to exploit the gap. These spreads typically narrow as the event approaches and information becomes more widely known.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team. Weather conditions, recent team form, and head-to-head matchup history often influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or trades can trigger sharp repricing. As game time nears, live betting action and professional syndicate moves typically accelerate price movement. Monitor team news feeds and sports media closely for developments that could shift conviction in this market.