TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
polymarket
predict

Who will win New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Volume:
$869,896

O/U 7.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 7.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 9:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$77,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays

1%
45%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,233
$261,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 14

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the New York Mets versus Tampa Bay Rays baseball game, specifically whether the Tampa Bay Rays will win by more than 2.5 runs. Currently, the consensus probability of Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) winning is 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Predict, and will resolve based on official final statistics from MLB or consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 1 at 6:40 PM ET, as the result will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use the same resolution criteria based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting for tie, cancellation, and postponement scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB or consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The team win market resolves to the winning team based on official game result
  • The first inning run market resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored in the first inning by either team
  • Postponed games remain open until completed; canceled games or ties resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until game is completed; check MLB.com for makeup game schedule
  • Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup, market resolves 50-50
  • Tie: If game ends in a tie, market resolves 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs when official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours of game conclusion if using credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 1 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 1 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Mets vs. Rays matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of various game outcomes. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $869,896, and 24-hour volume of $607,727 across venues. This offers a consensus view of market sentiment toward this matchup, letting users compare how Polymarket and Predict users evaluate the contest. The dashboard updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader confidence as the game approaches.

Injuries, weather delays, and pitcher rotations could shift this market as the game nears. Key starters being pulled or unexpected lineup changes may sway trader sentiment quickly. Additionally, any last-minute news coverage or social media buzz around player performance often drives short-term volatility in betting probabilities, influencing odds on both platforms before settlement.