TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 6:47 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-31 22:40 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-31 22:40 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and historical performance, prediction market odds adjust dynamically as participants buy and sell contracts. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements, especially as game-day approaches or new information emerges that shifts trader confidence.
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling shares outcome-by-outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants, displayed as a probability percentage. Liquidity and volume of $0 influence how quickly prices adjust, with larger trades having a more pronounced impact on the market’s price equilibrium.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game records, and the market settles based on that definitive information. No further interpretation or external judgment is needed beyond confirming the reported result against trusted sources.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Additionally, early game momentum or standout pitching performances often influence trader sentiment in the final days before resolution, causing odds to fluctuate rapidly in response to emerging in-game developments and news coverage.