TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
predict
polymarket

Who will win New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?

Volume:
$1,163,517

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 10:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$638,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$21,425
$40,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$271,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$90,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Predict and Polymarket, with resolution based on official final statistics from MLB or consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the game on August 5 at 6:40 PM ET, as this will be the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the same resolution criteria, including tie and cancellation handling, and rely on the same primary resolution source.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB or consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner market resolves to the team that wins the game; ties and cancellations resolve 50-50
  • The first inning runs market resolves to 'Yes' if at least one run is scored in the first inning by either team, and 'No' if no runs are scored

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game
  • Tie: Markets resolve 50-50 if the game ends in a tie
Timing: Resolution occurs based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting within 24 hours after the event's conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a particular team, while the other could reflect a global, more analytical crowd. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and minimum trade sizes, which influences how traders engage with this market and therefore how prices move.