TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 8:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 4 at 8:08 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 4 at 8:08 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a broader, decentralized crowd of traders rather than professional oddsmakers managing liability. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets price based on continuous trading and real-money incentives. This market may offer sharper or earlier signals on first-five-inning outcomes, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparing implied probabilities across venues.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where each outcome's price reflects the cumulative bets placed on it. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds shift in real time as new trades flow in, meaning early movers and late traders may see different prices for the same outcome. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices are quoted and how quickly large orders execute.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the game between the Mets and Braves concludes and the first-five-inning result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team holds the lead after exactly five innings of play; ties or no score after five innings may have specific handling per market rules. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent team performance trends heading into the matchup. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and injury updates can shift trader expectations on early-game momentum. As game time approaches, betting action in sportsbooks and sharp money flows may signal where informed traders expect the first five innings to lean, potentially moving prices on this market in real time.