TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?

Volume:
$743,189

Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 7:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$483,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

View
N/A
N/A
—
$425
$4,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,891
N/A
N/A
$91,980
Settled
No
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 23

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET. Markets track both the overall game winner and whether a run will be scored in the first inning. Resolution depends on official MLB final statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: official MLB statistics as primary source, consensus reporting as fallback, 50-50 for cancellations without makeup games, and open markets for postponements until game completion.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics published on MLB.com; if unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion, credible reporting consensus

Core resolution logic:

  • Game Winner: Resolves to New York Mets if Mets win; resolves to Atlanta Braves if Braves win
  • First Inning Run: Resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning; resolves to No if zero runs scored in 1st inning
  • Postponed games: Markets remain open and unresolved until the makeup game is completed
  • Canceled games with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
  • Tied games: Head-to-head winner markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, check the home team (Atlanta Braves) schedule on MLB.com for the makeup game date. Markets remain open until that game is completed.
  • Complete Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tie Game: If the game ends in a tie, the head-to-head winner market resolves 50-50. First inning run markets resolve based on actual runs scored in the 1st inning.
  • Statistics Delay: If official MLB statistics are not published within 24 hours after game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs after game completion and official MLB statistics publication, or within 24 hours via credible reporting consensus if statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 3 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York M vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 3 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here differ from traditional sportsbooks in that traders themselves set odds through buy-and-sell activity rather than oddsmakers posting fixed lines. This market-driven pricing often reflects sharper, crowd-sourced sentiment and can move more dynamically as new information emerges. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and manage liability, whereas prediction markets reward accurate forecasting directly, creating incentives for informed traders to participate and move prices toward true probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have distinct user bases with varying information access or risk appetites. Arbitrage opportunities between the two platforms incentivize traders to exploit these gaps, though differences often persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific trading costs, and the time required for capital to move between venues.

Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market shifts, as do breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions. Trading volume spikes typically occur closer to game time as more casual bettors enter the market, and any viral social media sentiment or expert commentary can accelerate price movement in either direction.