TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on individual team run totals for the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays during their June 29, 2026 game. Bettors can predict whether each team will exceed specific run thresholds independently.
Resolution depends on the individual run totals scored by each team during the New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays professional baseball game scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. Toronto outcomes resolve based on Toronto's total runs, while New York Mets outcomes resolve based on the Mets' total runs. Each team has separate thresholds ranging from 1.5 runs through 7.5 runs, enabling bettors to isolate predictions about specific team offensive performance independent of their opponent's scoring.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one allow traders to price outcomes based on their genuine belief in probability. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value or disagrees with traditional oddsmakers on the team total outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the gap between buyers and sellers, and prices adjust in real time as new trades execute. Tighter spreads typically indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading activity around specific outcome ranges.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the game concludes and the final team total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official box score and combined points. Traders holding positions aligned with the verified final total will receive their payout, while those on the opposite side will see their stake returned or adjusted according to the market's outcome rules.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, roster changes, and recent team performance trends that affect scoring pace and efficiency. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes shifts here, as does breaking news about player availability or coaching adjustments. Weather conditions, venue factors, and public betting sentiment can also drive repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of higher or lower combined scoring.