TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The New York M and Tampa Bay baseball game on September 2, 2026, will continue into extra innings if the score is tied after the ninth inning, determining the winner through additional playing periods.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, you’ll typically see a spread and moneyline for the game, while this market focuses solely on whether the contest will go to extra innings. Prediction markets often reflect sharper insights and real-money trading dynamics, which can create notable differences from traditional sportsbook lines. Traders in this market react to depth charts, weather forecasts, and starting pitcher health in real time, whereas sportsbooks adjust slower to public betting trends. As Sep 3, 2026 approaches, expect this market to react more nimbly to late-breaking news than standard sports odds.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination hinges on whether play extends past the ninth inning, as recorded by official league sources at the conclusion of the event.
Injuries to key starters, weather delays, and bullpen performance updates are the primary drivers that could shift this market before Sep 3, 2026. A late swap to an unproven pitcher for either team might raise the extra innings probability, while a rainout that pushes the game to a later date could temporarily pause trading activity. Traders will also watch bullpen usage in prior games — heavy workloads may increase the chance of a tired pen and extra frames. Any last-minute lineup changes or stadium announcements will be parsed instantly by participants.