TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 12:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York M and Seattle will combine for more than 9.5 runs in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. The market resolves based on the official combined run total from the professional baseball game between these teams, as determined by standard baseball scoring rules. Watch for the game scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT to determine the final resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and protect profit, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized belief through continuous trading. For the New York M vs Seattle total runs outcome, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the crowd is pricing this matchup differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, the New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs contract is priced as a binary outcome reflecting trader conviction about whether the combined runs will fall above or below a specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. As traders buy and sell contracts ahead of the Jun 3, 2026 resolution, the price adjusts to reflect evolving expectations about team performance, weather, injuries, and other game-day factors that influence scoring.
The New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, after the game concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded for the matchup. Once the game ends and the final score is confirmed, the contract settles based on whether the combined runs meet the specified threshold, and traders receive payouts according to their positions. Check the event details for the exact run-total threshold that defines each outcome.
Key catalysts for the New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs market include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, injury updates to star batters or relievers, and weather forecasts that affect ball carry and scoring conditions. Recent team form, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about roster changes, trades, or player health in the days before Jun 3, 2026 can trigger sharp repricing as the market absorbs new information about offensive and defensive capability.