TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 12:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York M and Seattle will combine for more than 10.5 runs in their matchup on Kalshi. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total from the professional baseball game scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, as tracked by the resolution source. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and bullpen strength leading into the June 1 contest to gauge scoring likelihood.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal where professional and retail traders diverge on run expectations, offering insight into potential value or consensus shifts in how the game is being priced across different venues.
On Kalshi, New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the combined runs will fall above or below a specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of the outcome. As game conditions change—including team lineups, weather, or early inning scoring—the contract price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations, allowing traders to enter or exit positions based on their view of total runs.
The New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded for the completed game between New York M and Seattle. The market outcome depends on whether the combined runs scored by both teams meets or exceeds the specified threshold established at market creation. Once the game concludes and the official result is confirmed, the contract settles based on that final tally.
Several factors could shift the New York M vs Seattle: Total Runs market before Jun 2, 2026. Key lineup announcements—such as star hitters or starting pitchers being ruled out—typically move the total significantly. Weather conditions, particularly wind direction and temperature at the stadium, affect ball carry and scoring pace. Early inning scoring trends during the game itself will prompt rapid repricing as traders update expectations for the final total. Injury updates, bullpen availability, and recent offensive form of both teams also influence how traders position ahead of first pitch and throughout the contest.