TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs
kalshi

New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs

Volume:
$243,241

Josh Naylor: 1+

 - Kalshi

Josh Naylor: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 12:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josh Naylor: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,841
N/A
N/A
$16,140
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Colt Emerson: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,061
N/A
N/A
$5,952
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Semien: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,348
N/A
N/A
$3,914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jared Young: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,216
N/A
N/A
$2,967
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Juan Soto: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,715
N/A
N/A
$37,763
Settled
No
kalshi

Julio Rodríguez: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,836
N/A
N/A
$34,847
Settled
No
kalshi

Randy Arozarena: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,571
N/A
N/A
$23,408
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Raley: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,053
N/A
N/A
$17,878
Settled
No
kalshi

J.P. Crawford: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,554
N/A
N/A
$11,506
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Bichette: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,681
N/A
N/A
$10,641
Settled
No
kalshi

Rob Refsnyder: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,021
N/A
N/A
$9,833
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Naylor: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,777
N/A
N/A
$7,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Young: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,636
N/A
N/A
$7,596
Settled
No
kalshi

Julio Rodríguez: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,300
N/A
N/A
$7,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Randy Arozarena: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,747
N/A
N/A
$5,730
Settled
No
kalshi

MJ Melendez: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,252
N/A
N/A
$3,229
Settled
No
kalshi

Mitch Garver: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,181
N/A
N/A
$2,993
Settled
No
kalshi

Juan Soto: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,180
N/A
N/A
$3,180
Settled
No
kalshi

Jared Young: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,889
N/A
N/A
$2,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Benge: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,609
N/A
N/A
$2,609
Settled
No
kalshi

Brett Baty: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,538
N/A
N/A
$2,536
Settled
No
kalshi

Colt Emerson: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,321
N/A
N/A
$2,173
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Raley: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,997
N/A
N/A
$1,997
Settled
No
kalshi

A.J. Ewing: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,694
N/A
N/A
$1,686
Settled
No
kalshi

Brett Baty: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,412
N/A
N/A
$1,411
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

This event tracks home run production by individual players during a professional baseball game scheduled for June 1, 2026. It measures whether each player achieves single or multiple home runs during the contest.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the New York M vs Seattle home runs prediction market on Kalshi. It displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume to help you monitor how traders are pricing the outcome. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, giving you a live window into market sentiment and liquidity for this baseball event. Use it to compare current odds against your own analysis and identify optimal entry points for your prediction.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the New York M vs Seattle home runs event, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional and casual traders disagree. Significant gaps may signal value or highlight factors the sportsbooks are pricing differently.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the New York M vs Seattle home runs market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to the specified home run outcome. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% probability increment. Traders buy contracts if they believe the outcome is more likely than the market price implies, or sell if they think it is less likely. Kalshi's order book displays all active bids and asks, allowing you to execute at posted prices or place limit orders to wait for your target entry.

The New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official home run count recorded in the game between these teams. The specific outcome criteria—such as total home runs, home runs by a particular team, or individual player home run thresholds—are defined in the market's terms at creation. Once the game concludes and official statistics are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual result matches the predicted outcome.

Key catalysts for the New York M vs Seattle home runs market include lineup announcements, injury reports affecting power hitters, weather conditions at game time, and pitcher matchups. Wind direction and speed significantly influence home run distance and frequency. Recent team performance trends, batting average with runners in scoring position, and bullpen strength can shift trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability, trades, or roster changes may trigger sharp price movements. As game time approaches, live betting action and early inning results will likely drive continuous repricing of the outcome.