TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 12:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks home run production by individual players during a professional baseball game scheduled for June 1, 2026. It measures whether each player achieves single or multiple home runs during the contest.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the New York M vs Seattle home runs event, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional and casual traders disagree. Significant gaps may signal value or highlight factors the sportsbooks are pricing differently.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the New York M vs Seattle home runs market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to the specified home run outcome. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% probability increment. Traders buy contracts if they believe the outcome is more likely than the market price implies, or sell if they think it is less likely. Kalshi's order book displays all active bids and asks, allowing you to execute at posted prices or place limit orders to wait for your target entry.
The New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official home run count recorded in the game between these teams. The specific outcome criteria—such as total home runs, home runs by a particular team, or individual player home run thresholds—are defined in the market's terms at creation. Once the game concludes and official statistics are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual result matches the predicted outcome.
Key catalysts for the New York M vs Seattle home runs market include lineup announcements, injury reports affecting power hitters, weather conditions at game time, and pitcher matchups. Wind direction and speed significantly influence home run distance and frequency. Recent team performance trends, batting average with runners in scoring position, and bullpen strength can shift trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability, trades, or roster changes may trigger sharp price movements. As game time approaches, live betting action and early inning results will likely drive continuous repricing of the outcome.