TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for June 3, 2026, where outcomes depend on the combined scoring by both teams during the first five innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for margin and liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For the New York M vs Seattle First 5 Innings Total, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing this outcome more bullishly or bearishly than conventional betting venues. These differences can highlight value opportunities if you believe one pricing is more accurate.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, after the completion of the first five innings of the New York M vs Seattle game. The outcome is determined by the actual combined run total scored by both teams during that specific period. Once the fifth inning concludes and official statistics are recorded, the market settles based on whether the total meets, exceeds, or falls short of the strike price. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts for this market include announced starting pitchers, bullpen availability, weather conditions at game time, and recent offensive trends for both teams. Injuries to star hitters or pitchers can significantly shift expectations for early-inning scoring. Pre-game news about lineup changes, rest days, or travel fatigue may also influence trader positioning. As game time approaches, live updates on field conditions, umpire assignments, and last-minute roster decisions can trigger sharp price moves. Monitor team announcements and sports news closely for signals that could affect first-inning run production.