TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the combined run total in the New York M versus San Diego baseball game will exceed 1.5 runs. On Kalshi, the Yes outcome is priced at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the official combined score from the professional baseball game scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. Watch for the game's completion on June 7, 2026, when the final combined run total will determine the resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance action and lock in profit; prediction markets aggregate beliefs of many participants with real money at stake. For the New York M vs San Diego total runs market, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal where public perception diverges from market consensus. Sharper traders often spot value by identifying these gaps early.
On Kalshi, the New York M vs San Diego total runs market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing their belief about whether the run total will fall above or below a specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders. As new information emerges—lineups, weather, injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Kalshi's order book shows real-time bid-ask spreads, allowing you to execute at current market rates or place limit orders.
The New York M vs San Diego: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded at the end of the game. The market will settle based on whether the combined runs scored by both teams meets or exceeds the specified threshold, or falls below it. Once the game concludes and official statistics are confirmed, the market locks in and payouts are distributed to winning traders. Check the event details for the exact run-total threshold used for this contract.
Several factors can shift the New York M vs San Diego total runs market before Jun 7, 2026. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates to key hitters or pitchers will influence run-scoring expectations. Weather conditions—wind speed, temperature, humidity—affect ball carry and scoring pace. Recent team form, bullpen strength, and head-to-head matchup history also drive trader sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or last-minute roster changes can trigger sharp moves. Monitor sports news and team updates closely; early movers often capture the largest price swings.