TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled, and the question concerns whether at least one team will score during the first inning of play.
The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the conclusion of the first inning. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses the plate during that inning for either the New York M or San Diego. Once the first inning concludes and official scoring is confirmed, the contract settles to reflect the actual result, and traders receive payouts based on their position and the final outcome.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, recent offensive form and batting averages, bullpen availability, weather conditions at game time, and any late-breaking injuries to key hitters. Early inning scoring trends in recent matchups between these teams, home field advantage, and lineup changes can also shift trader expectations. As game time approaches, live pregame updates and final roster confirmations may trigger sharp price moves, especially if a star batter is ruled out or weather threatens to suppress scoring.