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New York M vs New York Y: First Inning Run
predict
kalshi

What happens in New York M vs New York Y first inning?

Volume:
$205,110

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning

 - Kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 1:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$173,011
N/A
N/A
$147,260
Settled
Yes
predict

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees

View
99%
61%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$32,140
$32,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This prediction market asks whether either the New York Mets or the New York Yankees will score a run in the first inning of their game on September 12th. The market resolves to 'Yes' if either team scores, and 'No' if neither team scores in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms are asking about fundamentally different outcomes: game winner vs. first inning runs.Hero tip: These markets are not comparable. Trade each one based on its specific question, not on any perceived correlation.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: This market resolves based on which team wins the entire game. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game."
  • kalshi: This market resolves based on whether either team scores a run in the first inning. Key Quote: "If either team scores a run in the first inning...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 12 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their beliefs, leading to more fluid price discovery. This can result in prediction market prices being more accurate, particularly when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks typically offer more variety in bet types than available in this market.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Kalshi and Predict, which can influence price movements. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to profit from price discrepancies across the two venues.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the Yankees or the Mets would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions at the game location could also influence the market, particularly if there's a risk of rain delays or strong winds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or strategic adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.