TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 1:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either the New York M or Miami will score a run in the first inning of their scheduled baseball game. The outcome depends on the early gameplay dynamics between the two teams. A run scored by either side during the first inning will determine the result.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market adjusts to new information and differing opinions about the likelihood of a run in the first inning. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official scoring of the game between New York M and Miami will determine whether 0.5 or more runs were scored in the first inning. The result will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 if over 0.5 runs are scored, and 0 if under 0.5 runs are scored. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the starting pitchers for New York M and Miami, such as injuries or changes in form, would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also important, as rain delays or strong winds could affect scoring. Additionally, late-breaking news about key players being added to or removed from the lineup could cause the market to shift. Finally, general betting trends and large trades on Kalshi could also move the price.