TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between the New York Mets and the Chicago White Sox. On Kalshi, Chicago WS wins currently holds a 59.0% probability, while New York M wins stands at 40.0%. The resolution source is the game result on August 23, 2026. Watch for the game on August 23, 2026, as this is the date the market will resolve based on the winning team.
If New York M wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago WS wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information inputs. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends, this market prices in more granular, data-driven expectations from a focused group of traders. The resulting probabilities may therefore appear more volatile or nuanced compared to standard sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges ahead of Aug 23, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match outcome as reported by authoritative sports news outlets and league records, ensuring an impartial and transparent resolution process.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. Strong performance from either team in warm-ups or recent matches, injury updates to key players, and changes in coaching strategies may all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, crowd energy, and referee announcements can also create short-term volatility. As the match approaches, any last-minute roster changes or strategic shifts could cause rapid adjustments in this market’s pricing, reflecting updated expectations for the final outcome.