TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Freddy Peralta and Reynaldo López will each record strikeouts during the New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves game on July 6, 2026. A strikeout occurs when a pitcher throws three strikes to a batter.
Settlement is based on strikeouts recorded by each starting pitcher during their appearance in the game. Only starting pitcher appearances count; relief appearances do not. If a pitcher is scratched or does not start, the market resolves to fair market price. If a starting pitcher records at least one pitch, the market settles based on actual strikeouts recorded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different strikeout outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% probability. As traders place bids and offers, the mid-market price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the game concludes and the final strikeout count is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on live game developments, injury reports, and other factors that influence strikeout expectations.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before resolution. Pitcher lineups and late scratches directly impact strikeout projections, as does weather or field conditions that favor strikeout-heavy play. Real-time game action—early strikeout runs, pitcher changes, or bullpen usage—will drive intraday volatility. Injury announcements or roster adjustments closer to game time can also trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of hitting specific strikeout thresholds.