TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 11:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Francisco Lindor, Juan Soto, and Matt Olson will each accumulate a combined total of hits, runs scored, and RBIs during the New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves game on July 6, 2026.
Settlement is based on the combined total of hits, runs scored, and RBIs for each player during their at-bats in the game. Players must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to settle on actual performance; otherwise it resolves to fair market price. Pinch-hit appearances do not count toward this combined statistic.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes through continuous trading among participants with varying information and risk appetites. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing on niche outcomes—like specific player stat combinations—because traders with specialized knowledge compete directly. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand how different markets assess the same event.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the game concludes and final statistics are confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified player performance data—specifically, whether each named player achieves the combined threshold of hits, runs, and RBIs specified in the contract. Resolution relies on credible public reporting from official league sources, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on live game action, player performance, and shifting trader expectations. Once the event is verifiable, the market settles automatically according to the actual results.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before resolution. Lineup announcements or injury reports affecting key players will trigger immediate repricing, as traders reassess the likelihood of hitting stat thresholds. Early-game performance—a player going 2-for-2 with a run in the first inning—can dramatically raise their odds. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and bullpen availability also influence run and RBI potential. Trade deadline moves or recent hot streaks can reshape trader confidence in specific players. Live game momentum, momentum shifts, and score dynamics will drive continuous price adjustments right up until the final out.