TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Francisco Lindor, Juan Soto, and Matt Olson will compete in the New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves game on July 3, 2026. These markets track the combined total of hits, runs scored, and RBIs for each player, measuring overall offensive production.
Settlement is based on the combined total of hits, runs scored, and RBIs recorded by each player during the game. Players must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to settle on actual performance. If a player is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market resolves to fair market price. Players who enter the game as pinch hitters do not count toward these markets. If a starting player does not record a plate appearance, the market resolves to fair market price.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may price player stats outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if informed traders spot value that bookmakers have mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential edges for sharp bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their beliefs about combined hits, runs, and RBIs outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new orders flow in, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, lineup changes, or injury updates instantly. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and deeper participation, while wider spreads suggest lower conviction or thinner order flow.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect the actual combined performance of the specified players across hits, runs, and RBIs during the game. Once the Mets and Braves game concludes and official statistics are published, the market will settle based on whether the combined totals meet or exceed the thresholds traders wagered on.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury reports, and weather conditions that affect offensive output. A star player being ruled out or a surprise starter entering the order can shift expectations for hits and RBIs significantly. Bullpen depth, recent form, and head-to-head matchups between hitters and pitchers also influence trader positioning. Real-time game events—early runs, strikeouts, or momentum swings—will cause price adjustments as traders update their forecasts based on what unfolds on the field.