TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York M pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

New York M pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$152,721

75+ wins

 - Kalshi

75+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75+ wins

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,681
N/A
N/A
$13,064
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

80+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,739
N/A
N/A
$18,131
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

85+ wins

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,993
N/A
N/A
$14,106
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

90+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,288
N/A
N/A
$13,393
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

100+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,759
N/A
N/A
$1,851
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

95+ wins

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,256
N/A
N/A
$1,894
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

105+ wins

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
1mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A professional baseball team will complete its 2026 regular season.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by New York M's regular season win total in 2026. The event resolves to Yes if the team achieves 75 or more wins. Ties do not count as wins. Win thresholds are evaluated at the conclusion of the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the New York Mets’ potential. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges throughout the season.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the New York Mets season. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the New York Mets’ final season record is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the team’s official wins and losses as recorded by Major League Baseball. This market will determine whether the New York Mets meet the conditions defined within the available contracts on Kalshi, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.

Numerous factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key player injuries, significant trades, changes in team management, and even unexpected shifts in team performance could all drive price movements. A winning or losing streak, particularly against strong opponents, would likely have a noticeable impact. External factors, such as weather conditions affecting games or broader economic trends influencing fan sentiment, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.