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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever?

Volume:
$3,458,056

Indiana

 - Kalshi

Indiana - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 9:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Indiana

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,544,748
N/A
N/A
$1,048,878
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 192.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$65,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 190.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,551,178
N/A
N/A
$1,139,120
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Jonquel Jones will achieve more than 8.5 rebounds in the upcoming WNBA game between the New York Liberty and the Indiana Fever, with the consensus probability for exceeding this mark standing at 99.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi. The outcome will be resolved using official WNBA scores from wnba.com. The key date to monitor is August 12, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for this event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes with cancellation handling, while Kalshi uses yes/no format that lacks loss outcome and cancellation rulesHero tip: Do not arbitrage between these markets. Polymarket provides complete outcome coverage including cancellations; Kalshi only resolves yes for either team win with no explicit loss or cancellation handling

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names ("New York Liberty" or "Indiana Fever"), with 50-50 split for entirely canceled games. Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50"
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team win with no explicit loss outcome or cancellation handling. Quote: "If Indiana wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If New York wins... then the market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 7:30PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the women's professional basketball game between New York and Indiana originally scheduled for August 11, 2026. If New York wins, the New York market resolves to Yes, and the Indiana market resolves to No. Conversely, if Indiana wins, the Indiana market resolves to Yes, and the New York market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed, both markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates activity across platforms for the WNBA championship race, showing real-time consensus and volume. It pulls together data from multiple venues so users can see how the market is shaping up, with current top outcomes and trading volume of $3,458,056. This offers a single view of where speculation stands for the championship race.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through aggregated bets on the WNBA championship race, often showing sharper or more volatile pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction markets can price in news, injuries, and shifting momentum faster than sportsbooks, which may lag due to broader public betting patterns. The gap between the two can widen, especially with low volume of $3,458,056. Sportsbooks typically incorporate broader risk management and may smooth odds to maintain balanced action, while prediction markets let extreme views surface more freely. This difference means odds on this market may appear more aggressive or nuanced compared to standard sportsbook lines.