TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve specific minimum numbers of field goals during the match. The outcomes depend purely on the game's statistical performance.
These markets resolve based on the total number of field goals made by each team in the specified Pro Football game. Each market corresponds to a threshold number of field goals for a given team, resolving to Yes if that team meets or exceeds the threshold. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, they remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolving entity operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to late-breaking news, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of event probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by each team in the New York vs Tennessee game will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the completion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New York or Tennessee would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting strong winds or rain, could also influence the market, as these conditions often affect field goal kicking. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also lead to adjustments in the probabilities. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could move this market before Sep 13, 2026.