TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of receptions Garrett Wilson achieves in a specific football game. Each outcome represents a different reception threshold, allowing participants to speculate on his performance level. The resolution depends solely on the actual receptions recorded during the game.
All markets evaluate Garrett Wilson's receptions in the New York Jets versus Tennessee game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific reception threshold (ranging from 3 to 12 receptions or more). If Wilson meets or exceeds the threshold in that game, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Wilson is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap—whether due to coaching decisions, injury after activation, or other reasons—the market settles at its fair market price as determined before the game begins. However, once Wilson takes at least one snap, even if that play is later nullified by penalty, the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of receptions he records during the game. These provisions ensure clarity in edge cases such as late-game activations or nullified plays, while emphasizing that only actual game participation and statistics matter for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as game day approaches and more data becomes available. This is because the participants in this market can react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team conditions than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the New York and Tennessee game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to view the final results on Kalshi after the game concludes and the data is verified, allowing for a clear determination of which contracts will pay out.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Tennessee teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting passing games, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or significant shifts in team strategies could also influence trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news regarding player matchups or coaching decisions could all contribute to price movements leading up to Sep 13, 2026.