TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for quarterbacks in a specific football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether a player will surpass various yardage thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified quarterback records the stated passing yard threshold in the New York Jets vs Tennessee game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for both Cam Ward and Geno Smith.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the New York vs Tennessee game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular passing yardage range, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the New York vs Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total for each team, as recorded by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers for either the New York or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations for passing yardage totals. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could lead to shifts in the market as traders adjust their predictions.