TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Cam Ward and Geno Smith in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves. The outcomes depend solely on the number of successful passes each quarterback throws that result in points for their team during the match.
The markets evaluate whether designated quarterbacks, Cam Ward and Geno Smith, achieve specified minimum numbers of passing touchdowns in the New York Jets versus Tennessee football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and a threshold of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 4+). If the named player records at least the stated number of passing touchdowns, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' A key secondary rule governs scenarios where a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps: in such cases, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets reflect real in-game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainties regarding player participation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. If a significant difference emerges, it may indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced, or vice versa, and traders will attempt to profit from the difference.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in various potential results for the New York vs Tennessee passing touchdowns total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both teams in the New York vs Tennessee game will be used to determine the winning contracts. This data will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against reliable sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of passing touchdowns will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Tennessee teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or offensive play-calling tendencies could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.