TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:13 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks passing performance metrics for specific quarterbacks in a professional football game, focusing on thresholds of completed passes. Each market evaluates whether a designated player meets or exceeds a particular completion count during the contest. Outcomes are determined purely by in-game statistics, with specific handling for players who do not see action.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing completions achieved by the specified quarterback during the New York Jets vs Tennessee game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If the named player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, which vary only in the completion thresholds (e.g., 15+, 16+, up to 26+).
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks incorporate factors like margins and public perception, while this market is driven by individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price. As more trades occur, the market price converges towards a consensus view of the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing completions achieved by both teams during the New York vs Tennessee game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolved outcome and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the event's completion.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Tennessee teams, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing volume. Additionally, late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.