TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between New York J and Tennessee. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, with all types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—counting towards the outcome. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, the market still resolves in favor of the scoring team. A special market exists for the scenario where neither team scores a touchdown at all during the full game, including overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by actual traders expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds, as more information becomes incorporated into both.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices determined by supply and demand. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific team will score first, the price for that outcome increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the game between New York J and Tennessee. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New York J or Tennessee would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a specific team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions about which team is favored to score first could sway market sentiment.