TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that a team must exceed for the outcome to be considered successful.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either New York J or Tennessee in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a distinct numerical threshold; if the specified team scores more than the threshold points in the first half, the market resolves to Yes. The thresholds range from 2.5 to 30.5 points for each team, offering varied levels of difficulty. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends solely on the actual points scored during the first half of the game as scheduled, with no affiliation to the governing league or use of their trademarks.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of individuals trading contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, shown on the dashboard, indicates the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving an idea of how easily large orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for New York and Tennessee in the first half of the game will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'over' or 'under' contracts. The official statistics from the game will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either New York or Tennessee could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game's scoring potential. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first quarter of the game itself will likely cause substantial price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.