TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between New York J and Detroit, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible results based on how many points separate the winning team from the loser. The event resolves based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome of the New York J versus Detroit professional football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, by evaluating the point differential between the two teams. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the specified point differential range is met, regardless of which team wins. Specifically, markets cover scenarios where Detroit wins by 0, 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points, as well as New York J winning by 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points. All outcomes are assessed after the full game, including any overtime periods. The resolution is strictly based on the final point differential, with no consideration for other factors such as individual player performance or game events. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome of the New York vs Detroit game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that margin occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific margin is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and evolving expectations regarding the New York vs Detroit contest. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders will then be able to collect payouts based on the final margin and their positions in the New York vs Detroit margin market. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New York or Detroit teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could lead to rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders on Kalshi could also create momentum and move the market in a particular direction.