TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jeremy Ruckert will score one or more touchdowns in the New York J vs Detroit professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Ruckert scoring 1+ touchdowns. The market will resolve based on whether Sam LaPorta scores at least 3+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for September 27, 2026, as the outcome hinges on LaPorta’s performance during that fixture.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the exact number of touchdowns indicated in their respective rule (1+, 2+, or 3+). If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdowns scored during the game. All markets are independent and evaluate only the named player's performance, with no cross-market dependencies. The governing league's official scoring and player participation records determine resolution.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. You might find that this market’s probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated. It’s common to see discrepancies, as each represents a different form of forecasting and risk assessment. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of touchdowns scored in the New York J vs Detroit game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the probability of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as recorded by the NFL. The number of touchdowns scored by both teams combined will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either the New York J or Detroit teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is predicted, could also shift expectations about scoring. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics might also move the market. Finally, any major shifts in public perception or betting trends could influence trading activity on Kalshi and cause the price to fluctuate.